Showing posts with label Nobel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nobel. Show all posts

Sunday, 30 September 2018

Into Darkness - Extreme Exam Culture

"Beware the Ides of March" by all means but September is never a dull month in any country. In Germany it is the month of the Oktoberfest - nothing less than the holy grail of the calendar year for many. Of course these days the event has been successfully exported worldwide including to both North and South Korea.

Bavarian colours redesigned with military chic.
Capitalising on NK's very highly rated brewing skills, Kim JungUn gave his personal nod 

to a 20 day beer festival in 2016, which is now an annual event in Pyongyang.


Seoul's Grand Hilton Hotel Oktoberfest:
more lederhosen and fewer starched uniforms than our friends in the north

Meanwhile in the more romantic nations of Europe, September sees a slothful return to work following August's closure of schools, small businesses, consultants, etc, to enable the merchants and professionals to rekindle their passions somewhere secluded. 

Alas for most students in the northern hemisphere, September reluctantly heralds the start of the new academic year and in Korea, it is the final count down to Seunung, the College Scholastic Aptitude Test (CSAT) held each Thursday in the second week of November. This is an 8 hour long national marathon of a selection test in which approx 600,000 students compete for positions at university. The importance of this test is difficult to overstate because of the widely held (and largely self-perpetuating) belief that selection to the best university puts you above your peers socially and provides a roadmap to success for the rest of your entire life. To reinforce the gravity of the exam, police control traffic on the day to ensure everyone arrives at school on time, military exercises and civilian flights are postponed to reduce distractions, meanwhile stock markets, banks and govt offices open late to allow parents to burn the midnight oil with their kid the night before.




Today more than ever, across the world and especially in South Korea (whose OECD ranking for graduation rates leaped from #34 to #1 in only 30 years) school and exams are a test of endurance rather than a test of intelligence or a useful foundation for a career. Students learn the facts and are then tested on how much they can remember. Likewise teachers teach-to-the-test; they coach the students on the type of questions they will be asked and the answers to reply with. This seduces some with the inviting short cut of learning only the questions and the respective model answers rather than learning the basic material. These students are quickly revealed when they leave the room 20 minutes into a 3 hour exam because the questions do not include the ones they learned. 

For the last 4 years South Korea has been #1 worldwide
for high school and college graduation rates.
This prompts the Whitehouse to ask what can the USA learn from  SK ?

Defiance
In 2012 a UK teacher proudly confided that she would refuse to implement the govt exams for 6 year olds in her class. She explained that her students were too young to be stressed by exams and that school is for learning and fun. Furthermore it is unfair to assess anyone based on their performance in one particular hour. A listener noted that when they become adults, her class will be regularly assessed, accepted or rejected in much less than an hour, often in just a few seconds.  This will happen every time they walk into a meeting, attend a job interview or introduce themselves to a potential date at a party. As the saying goes; "You don't get a second chance to make a first impression", so why try to avoid the inevitable ?  Why not become good at it by regular practice ? 

May 2016: UK teachers, parents and children protesting against national exams for 6 year olds

The noble teacher might consider that in former times the Korean education system included exams for entrance to middle school and then again for entrance to high school.  Due to grueling pressure on the students, the middle school exam was abolished in 1971. However this simply increased the stakes riding on the high school exam.  Competition in the high school exam then became so feverishly fraught that it was replaced by a lottery system for allocating school places. Ultimately both of these 'fixes' combined to shift all the pressure further along the system making November's Seunung the single, defining, make-or-break, absolute cliff-hanger of a student's application to university. 



Real Life
At school I recall learning how to calculate the inclination of a cannon set at distance S so that a cannon ball fired with velocity V hit would hit the top of a castle keep at height H. I'd like to think that I could do the same calculation today, which would indeed be a fine test of memory. In real life it is astonishingly rare to be given such a well-defined problem to solve and if you are that lucky then computing the answer is rarely difficult. 

An age old maths problem; the ballistic trajectories of cannon balls
- until 2017 also used notoriously by Kim JungUn for launching ICMBs into the Pacific

Real life problems are poorly defined at best and often hidden at worst; they require analytical skills. The first is observation; recognising that there is a problem with a business unit, a production line or a project is a very subtle skill. The second is investigation; correctly identifying which factors contribute to the problem as opposed to other issues which have no influence. Observation and investigation simply define the problem. Then come the follow-up skills; finding options and choosing a solution. Even the best schools and the most hotly contested universities have been excruciatingly slow at coaching future generations in the analytical skills needed for real challenges. The DAX, NYSE & FTSE are littered with examples of businesses which collapsed because nobody recognised anything was wrong (eg: Lehman Bros) or because a company achieved technical supremacy and/or market share with a product for which there was no longer a demand (eg: Kodak). 

Koreans themselves are scratching their heads over this dilemma, noting that despite Korea's #1 ranking for graduates in the OECD, Korea has yet to win a single Nobel prize in sciences.  Commentators identify rote learning as a likely culprit for stifling creative thinking together with the parents' unbalanced obsession with the reputation of certain universities rather than the subject their child will actually study. 

https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2018/09/181_254202.html

http://www.theasian.asia/archives/99165

Returning to the example of the cannon; relevant questions to ask before lighting the gunpowder might include; what makes an artillery attack preferable to undermining the walls, starving out the defenders or better still, confusing the incumbents by rocking up in a huge wooden horse ? Also, are non-adversarial strategies feasible such as starting rebellion among the defenders, converting them into allies or subverting the loyalty of an under-appreciated gatekeeper by offering him a quiet farmhouse with a few sheep tended by a Nordic shepherdess ?

Nordic shepherdess : offers a discrete alternative to military bombardment 

The analytical skills needed to detect and define problems then assess feasible solutions are hard to teach, harder to test and even harder to evaluate objectively. Therefore the education system blithely stumbles on, testing what students can remember; not because this constitutes a good education but simply because exams are easy to operate and everyone receives a standardised  little score for easy comparison.  

Work life
Analytical skills are similarly hard to teach, test and evaluate in a working environment. But rather than admit to the fallacy of annual performance reviews, HR gurus continue to ply their trade by annually launching the latest reincarnation of their review process which is invariably tweaked, overhauled or rebooted to include some enlightening mantra 'pinched with pride' from some uncredited business class in-flight magazine.

It is no surprise that many major corporations shed the yolk of performance reviews as they stepped into the 21st century, starting with tech companies like Dell, Microsoft and IBM but then joined by consultants such as Deloitte, PWC and Accenture, then industries such as GAP, Lear and General Electric.

https://hbr.org/2016/10/the-performance-management-revolution


https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/organization/our-insights/ahead-of-the-curve-the-future-of-performance-management

https://qz.com/428813/ge-performance-review-strategy-shift/


Sadly Korean chaebols are generally operated like military units with decisions made by Human Resources rather than managers. Here the annual performance review is essentially abused since the manager is unable to freely score individuals according to merit. Instead the HR dept. proscribes the spread of people who can be scored high (salary rise), middle (no change) or low (salary decrease). The manager must simply decide which to assign to who, even if all the team have done well and nobody merits a poor score - see previous post


Enlightenment
The most important casualty of an exam-fevered education is the joy of discovery - which is ironically the most powerful incentive to study. Students today memorise that the planets orbit the sun, the circumference of the earth is 40,000 km or that the swing of a pendulum is proportional to the square of its length. Today these are given as dry, unremarkable truths, delivered without context of the significance of the discoveries or how they changed the world. Nothing is taught about the curiosity, passion and egos which drove people to discover these truths, the primitive methods used to make the measurements, the wrong theories which were abandoned before the right theory was realised, the personal, religious and political fallout surrounding the discoveries. A student's enlightenment comes from learning how a discovery was made, who believed it, why it was challenged, who ignored it, as much as from the actual conclusion itself. 



Once education is made devoid of enlightenment, reduced to examinable facts which are dull and unmotivating, clearly students will begrudge the best years of their lives being smothered by the inexorable darkness of extreme exam culture. 

1979: Pink Floyd's The Wall; an early warning of darker times ahead





The Bottom Line
Putting educational philosophies and student motivation aside, the bottom line is that the business of education is business, not education.  In South Korea education is a huge opportunity to squeeze everything that parents can afford in exchange for even the most marginal perceived advantage for their children.  Like the market for new smart phones, the market for educational services needs no advertising, no sales pitch, no marketing.  Parents actively seek out each and every conceivable opportunity to upgrade their child's study experience.  

The prize is simple; a place at one of the nation's 3 elite 'SKY' universities; Seoul National Uni., Korea Uni, and Yonsei Uni. These accept the top 2% of students which sometimes leaves the student feeling a little more entitled than his less fortunate peers.

https://www.quora.com/How-does-South-Koreas-education-system-affect-students

Competition for SKY and other high-rated unis used to start in primary school with parents spending on average 20% of household income on private evening crammers (hagwon).  

https://theconversation.com/south-korean-education-ranks-high-but-its-the-kids-who-pay-34430

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/10491289/OECD-education-report-Koreas-school-system-a-pressure-cooker-for-children.html

Hagwons routinely teach until 9pm, often later, leaving children so tired that teachers perversely have to allow them to sleep the next day during regular school class.

Today the battle ground has shifted to kindergarten, specifically English language kindergartens which are perceived to be the latest way to nudge your child ahead.  On average places cost an astonishing US$ 900 per month but demand is so high that there are already more than 250 English language kindergartens in Seoul - the most expensive of which cost US$ 2,000 per month.

http://m.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20180724000470#cb


Ultimately money secures academic excellence with which to further leverage social standing.  To highjack Netflix's flawless adaptation of Richard Morgan's 2002 dystopian vision of our near future;


"Those with eternal wealth have 
eternal power over those who don't."








Sunday, 8 July 2018

I Came, I Saw, I Lunched (Bigly)

A radio guest once explained to a DJ, why he was lucky not to be late for their live interview. The guest used the underground to avoid traffic delays and indeed the trip began well. The guest exited his subway car not only at the correct station but also comfortably ahead of schedule. However on leaving the platform he looked up to see a sign which stated 'Dogs MUST be carried on escalator'. The guest then described his frantic panic as he searched high and low through the teeming flow of passengers for more than 40 minutes trying to find a dog somewhere in the crowd. When he was finally successful the guest then needed another 20 minutes to convince the dog's owner to briefly lend him the mutt so he could ride the escalator up out of the station. This anecjoke™© was obviously a mischievous farce but the point was clear enough; sometimes the key issue is not the message itself but how the message is presented and understood. 





Since 1953, Kim Il-Sung, Kim Jong-Il and Kim Jong-Un have, in succession, ruthlessly enforced and desperately clung to ideologies which China slowly relaxed back in 1978 and which the Soviet Union dropped like a hot potato in 1989.  Unfortunately for North Korea's long-suffering citizens, the Kim dynasty fails to realise that Stalinist personality cults are simply not like flared pants, which you can obstinately cling onto for three decades until they finally come back into fashion.  


Vitaly Mansky's critically acclaimed documentary "Under The Sun" portrays an 8 year old schoolgirl named Zinmi preparing to join the NK Children's Union.  Zinmi's class is taught how Kim Il-Sung defeated the US forces of evil by crushing them under a huge boulder. The same evil US forces are, even now, preparing to kill Zinmi's parents as they sleep in their beds if they let their guard down for just an instant. The only hope for Zinmi's family to live a long, happy, secure life together is under the protection of Super Supreme Leader Kim Jong-Un.  

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/for-north-koreas-kims-its-never-too-soon-to-start-brainwashing/2015/01/15/a23871c6-9a67-11e4-86a3-1b56f64925f6_story.html?utm_term=.37a3c5283dcc   

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/21/life-in-north-korea-the-early-years

After 65 years of such relentless indoctrination, news of Kim's June meeting with Mr T in Singapore required a very careful spin to ensure the correct understanding by Kim's subjects back home. Kim's earlier meetings with South Korea's Moon Jae-In and China's Xi Jin-Ping were only reported in NK after the meetings were successfully completed and all the video footage had been edited to maximise its propaganda value.  By contrast the meeting with Mr T was heralded in advance during prime time, to show Kim's elevation to top tier international statesman, confidently buoyed by his much-vaunted nuclear deterrent, which he would use to negotiate from a position of strength. Certainly there was no mention of impending new rounds of punishing international sanctions against NK or a three line whip issued by the Giant Panda next door to "...play nicely or else".   


Risky Business : a tricky first date


After a somewhat hairy 2017 characterised by disappointing elections and escalating military tension around the globe, diffusing tension in Korea actually offers several presidents the chance to finally deliver what we expect from heads of state engaging maturely in global politics in the 21st century. 

South Korea's Pres. Moon
From his inauguration in May 2017, SK's President Moon Jae-In personally redefined the expression 'to hit the ground running', working urgently to shrug off decades of ingrained government cynicism and antipathy towards North Korea. Despite fierce criticism from the conservative right, including accusations of reckless foolishness, being a NK stooge and upsetting US sentiment, Moon re-opened dialogue with NK's Super Supreme Leader Kim Jung-Un in May 2017 when NK missile launches had reached an alarming 3 per month.  After this rapprochement , launches reduced to 2 per month until August and then only one each in September and November - although the last of these confirmed the potential to reach the continental US.  

By January 2018, the Koreas re-established a long-abandoned hotline for direct communication and SK secured US agreement to postpone the regular 'Foal Eagle' combined forces military drills which NK (rightly or wrongly) interprets as preparations for an invasion.


By February 2018 NK had not only accepted an invitation to participate in SK's upcoming Winter Olympic Games but Kim JongUn's highly photogenic younger sister Kim Yo-Jong attended as a high-level emissary, becoming the first member of the Kim dynasty to visit SK since the cease fire was brokered in 1953.

Kim Yo-Jong and Moon Jae-In at the PyeongChang Winter Olympics
"U.S. Vice President Mike Pence ... who seemed to go out of [his] way to not acknowledge the North Koreans despite sitting just few feet (meters) away"
https://indianexpress.com/article/sports/sport-others/winter-olympics-kim-jong-un-sister-north-south-korea-5060537/

Through all of this Pres. Moon had to delicately spin the news of his progress via SK's respectfully dubious media to its vociferously skeptical audience.  It is a fine balance; on the one hand to lead people one small step at a time so as not to make them nervous but on the other hand, asking them to consider the much bigger picture; the prize of a meaningful peace. 

China's Pres. Xi
Meanwhile many political observers spent 2017 watching NK missile launches and underground nuclear tests, scratching their heads, wondering why China was not using its undoubted influence to rein in NK's bellicose and increasingly daring Kim Kong.




Frustrated criticism came thick and fast reminding China of its responsibility to show a united front with the global community.

Things eventually became clear in Feb 2018 when China unsportingly announced an end to presidential term limits. Behind closed doors the National People's Congress had been quietly voting for (ironically) less frequent Presidential elections and then deciding how this should be spun to ensure it was correctly understood at home and abroad.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/2136740/china-ends-presidential-term-limits-what-other-changes

With its own house in order, Pres. Xi JinPing then wasted no time summoning Kim Jong-Un to Bejing for three days to explain that re-ignition of the Korean war was not how China wants to begin NEoX; the New Era of Xi. It was now high time for young Kim to put his missiles away and get along with his neighbours - or to face Panda Rage on the world stage.

Much less discussed is SK's deployment of THAAD, the US' Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system; essentially a powerful radar imager which detects ballistic missile launches, extrapolates their trajectory and then fires interceptor missiles to knock them out in flight.  China objects to THAAD being stationed in SK, arguing it can spy directly on China's own military operations.  China's first response was to put SK in the dog house for deploying the system, unofficially boycotting SK products, businesses and celebrities within China and halving the usual 8m Chinese tourists from visiting SK . 


http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20180626000649&ACE_SEARCH=1

As painful and expensive as this was, SK actively encouraged tourism from other nations in an attempt to ride out the storm until Nov 2017 when China lifted these restrictions in exchange for SK promises not to develop THAAD any further.

https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/geopolitics/article/2120452/china-wins-its-war-against-south-koreas-us-thaad-missile

https://thediplomat.com/2018/04/is-the-us-south-korea-alliance-in-trouble/

The US and Mr T
The US Republican Party and SK's Pres. Moon recently suggested that Mr T be nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize for his role in the warming of relations with NK.  Naturally many object but we can all agree that even if Mr T does not deserve the prize the most, he would certainly enjoy it the most and he would definitely milk it the most.

If nothing else, Mr T is an actor, quite possibly an exquisite, sublime, Oscar-worthy actor.  However disappointing his administration may be, in the matter of North Korea, Mr T has played the role of President very well, perhaps even reassuringly responsibly, so far. Admittedly the world gasped at the immaturity of his opening lines; school-playground name-calling such as "I would never call him 'short' and 'fat' " and "Little Rocket Man".  But oh-how-much we relished NK's lofty, scholarly retort of "Dotard". Never was a spat squashed so quickly and so decisively.

Next Mr T had us on the edge of our seats promising to send the aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson to the region to 'show resolve' while simultaneously initiating drills to evacuate all US personnel from the Korean peninsular. Evidently Mr T had learned that he too can fake the news; with this sly bluff he misdirected the world's attention with chest-beating puffery while the USS Carl Vinson quietly continued to San Diego as planned. Finally as Mr T's speech-writer brought us to an incendiary climax with threats of "fire and fury, the likes of which the world has never seen", Mr T personally improvised with a return to the playground; "My nuclear button is bigger than yours - and it works !".

Through all of this Mr T is to be congratulated for playing out his John Wayne/Gary Cooper/James Stewart alter ego without actually attempting a military solution.  Like previous presidents he seems to have listened to strategists' advice which concludes there is no military solution in which Seoul can be saved.


After all Seoul city includes 25m people living only 30 miles from the DMZ. This distance can be covered in 30 minutes by tanks at full speed or  less than 3 minutes for the slowest regular rockets. In the event of hostilities, even the most modern technology could not prevent large parts of Seoul being levelled in hours - and with it ~230,000 US troops and english teachers. Not something for a president to blemish his CV with unnecessarily.

http://time.com/4751933/south-korea-evacuation-exercise-military/

As the 12 June Kim-Trump summit in Singapore approached, most media tried to show Mr T as inexperienced and ill-prepared. How much did he know about the history of the Korean war, about NK's military, did he think he could sign a peace treaty, how would he know if Kim could be trusted, how much time would Mr T need to assess Kim ? Mr T batted back the questions with the measured contempt they deserved; they were designed to trip him up and garner ignorant, arrogant or otherwise embarrassing sound-bites at a time when he needed to remain calm, focused and to stay within his remit. 



Ultimately Mr T did exactly what was required of a president; he flew in, shook hands, had lunch, signed some papers, showed off his limo and flew back - in time for his birthday 2 days later. Rocket launches have been postponed in return for military exercises put on hold. Against expectations, in a very difficult situation, as the world held its breath, Mr T delivered, presidentially.

https://www.military.com/daily-news/2018/06/25/trump-kim-summit-assessment.html

It is still far from clear if Kim Jong-Un is sincere about resetting NK's relationship with the rest of the world. This and any steps towards a peace on the peninsular would require a lot of hard work over a long time by many dedicated specialists. However all sides are now talking at senior levels and with a regularity not seen in decades. Unless and until it fails, 12 June 2018 may be one of the first real Apollo 11 moments of the new millennium; one small step for man, one giant leap for mankind. One thing is already certain; Mr T may survive a term or two, but inevitably he will be a note in the margin. Meanwhile, NEoX, the New Era of Xi, is already firmly established and well underway. 


A hard act to follow: the constitution of China now updated to include 'Xi JinPing Thought'







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